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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+5.82vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+5.02vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.23+4.94vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.63+2.62vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.23+2.96vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.54+0.91vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+1.87vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+2.16vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.36-1.65vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.07-4.95vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.35-0.03vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.09-3.59vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.19-5.01vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.09-5.75vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.33-3.78vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.00-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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7.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.94Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.62George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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6.91Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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7.35Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.05Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.99SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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11.22North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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14.47University of Michigan0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Axel Stordahl | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Lars Osell | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 5.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Wiley Rogers | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 8.7% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Samuel Gavula | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.