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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.09+7.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.49+5.13vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+6.05vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.80+2.23vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.36+2.70vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.54+1.09vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.63-0.19vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.19+0.21vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.33+2.38vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.35+1.43vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.23-2.84vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.09-3.28vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.07-7.84vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-6.79vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.07-2.63vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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9.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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6.23College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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7.7Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.09Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.81George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.21SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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11.38North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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8.16Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.72Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
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5.16Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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12.37University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gavula | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Gray Benson | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Brandon Geller | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Feves | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 18.6% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 17.9% |
| Asher Zittrer | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 13.8% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 18.3% | 27.9% |
| Lars Osell | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.