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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.63+5.33vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.23+5.84vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+4.09vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.09+4.64vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.54+1.85vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.36+1.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.49+0.08vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.35-0.64vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.23-1.15vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.35-0.05vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.99-6.66vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-2.73vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.09-5.72vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.33-3.77vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.00-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.84Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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8.64Old Dominion University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.85Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.52Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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7.36SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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7.85College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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8.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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10.95University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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5.34Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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11.23North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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14.49University of Michigan0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Feves | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Gray Benson | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Axel Stordahl | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 9.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 6.8% |
| Samuel Gavula | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 9.4% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 13.4% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.