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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.54+5.67vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+3.26vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+4.44vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+4.98vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.23+3.01vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.63+0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.35+4.09vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.23-0.17vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-2.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+0.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.49-4.00vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.33-0.94vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.09-4.61vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.35-6.66vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.09-6.46vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.00-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.26Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.0%1st Place
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8.01Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.52George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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7.83College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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6.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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11.06North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.34SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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14.47University of Michigan0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Asher Zittrer | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Feves | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 9.8% |
| Axel Stordahl | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Lars Osell | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 5.8% |
| Gray Benson | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 10.6% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Gavula | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 11.9% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.