Race 12B

navy-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Cameron Feves 9.3% 10.2% 10.3% 8.9% 8.0% 8.0% 8.3% 7.7% 5.3% 6.5% 5.4% 4.4% 3.2% 2.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Diego Escobar 8.9% 9.8% 8.7% 8.7% 8.2% 6.6% 7.1% 8.0% 6.3% 6.6% 6.6% 4.6% 4.2% 2.9% 2.2% 0.6%
Gray Benson 8.3% 8.3% 7.9% 7.3% 8.3% 7.9% 7.4% 7.7% 8.9% 6.8% 5.4% 5.7% 4.3% 2.9% 1.9% 1.0%
Nicholas Sessions 4.0% 5.8% 5.8% 5.4% 6.2% 5.1% 5.7% 5.7% 6.3% 7.3% 7.9% 8.1% 8.3% 8.6% 7.1% 2.7%
Michelle Lahrkamp 11.6% 14.1% 10.7% 12.6% 9.0% 8.7% 7.8% 5.5% 5.7% 5.1% 4.1% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Nicholas Salvesen 2.7% 2.0% 2.7% 3.2% 3.0% 4.6% 4.2% 4.4% 5.3% 5.7% 6.8% 7.5% 8.6% 12.5% 15.7% 11.1%
Spencer Barnes 8.3% 7.1% 6.3% 6.6% 6.8% 7.9% 7.1% 6.4% 7.2% 7.4% 6.7% 6.8% 6.5% 4.6% 3.8% 0.5%
Lars Osell 3.3% 3.5% 4.7% 3.5% 3.4% 5.4% 4.8% 4.7% 5.8% 5.0% 8.2% 6.9% 9.5% 11.1% 14.2% 6.0%
Hogan O'Donnell 3.0% 2.6% 2.5% 2.6% 3.7% 3.9% 2.8% 5.0% 5.0% 5.9% 5.5% 7.8% 10.2% 13.0% 16.7% 9.8%
Charlie Anderson 7.4% 6.7% 8.0% 7.5% 6.9% 8.0% 8.8% 8.3% 9.4% 6.6% 6.5% 5.2% 4.6% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7%
Samuel Gavula 7.2% 5.0% 5.6% 5.4% 5.5% 6.9% 5.2% 7.5% 6.7% 7.1% 7.7% 7.7% 7.3% 8.2% 5.5% 1.5%
Asher Zittrer 6.8% 6.1% 5.4% 7.0% 8.9% 6.4% 7.2% 6.0% 6.4% 5.6% 6.9% 8.9% 6.4% 5.6% 4.4% 2.0%
Andrew Ciszewski 4.5% 5.7% 6.5% 6.6% 6.0% 6.6% 7.3% 6.7% 6.1% 8.6% 7.1% 6.9% 7.2% 7.6% 5.9% 0.7%
Adrian van der Wal 7.5% 6.9% 8.1% 7.7% 8.9% 6.2% 7.8% 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 7.1% 5.8% 6.1% 3.5% 2.3% 0.8%
Axel Stordahl 6.7% 5.3% 6.1% 6.4% 6.7% 7.3% 7.5% 7.0% 7.2% 7.4% 6.4% 7.0% 8.3% 6.5% 3.2% 1.0%
Samuel Ephraim 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 4.4% 3.8% 5.9% 13.5% 61.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.