← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.63+5.29vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.99+3.24vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.23+4.94vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.49+3.10vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.36+2.45vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.09+2.51vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.09+1.53vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College2.35-0.65vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.35+1.95vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99-1.14vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.33+0.06vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.54-5.17vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-2.71vs Predicted
-
14University of Michigan0.00+0.39vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-7.78vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University2.23-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.29George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
-
5.24Stanford University2.990.2%1st Place
-
7.94College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
-
7.1U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
-
7.45Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.51University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
-
8.53Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
-
7.35SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
-
10.95University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
-
8.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
-
11.06North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
-
6.83Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
-
10.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
-
14.39University of Michigan0.000.0%1st Place
-
7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
7.98Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Feves | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 15.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Gray Benson | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 8.6% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 10.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lars Osell | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 6.6% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 13.0% | 61.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.