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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.31+3.50vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.14+4.44vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.04+1.02vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.47-2.26vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.16-1.25vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.67-4.54vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.64-0.87vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.40-0.79vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-1.40-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.44Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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3.53Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
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5.02University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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2.74Roger Williams University3.470.3%1st Place
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4.75Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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2.46Tufts University3.670.3%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.640.0%1st Place
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9.21Bentley University-1.400.0%1st Place
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9.22Northeastern University-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Barclift | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 27.6% | 26.9% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 15.2% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Cuccio | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 16.9% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 26.1% | 23.8% | 21.5% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Gestal | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 32.0% | 25.9% | 20.1% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Omar Abudayyeh | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 19.5% | 40.7% | 13.1% | 1.9% |
| Cassie Morello | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 7.2% | 38.5% | 48.6% |
| Elizabeth Sczerzenie | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 39.2% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.