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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+3.61vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+3.43vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.97vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+6.34vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+4.33vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-0.50vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.68vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69-1.76vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.16+2.18vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52+0.21vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-5.90vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-2.00vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-4.33vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.89-5.13vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.11-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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5.43Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.34Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.33Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.5Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.1Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.1% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.4% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 9.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 21.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.2% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.