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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+8.59vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+2.47vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+2.52vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.53vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+2.13vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.03+2.48vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.16+4.18vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44+2.40vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.69-2.88vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-3.53vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.11+0.33vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-1.64vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-7.73vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.89-5.08vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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4.47Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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5.52Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.53Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.4Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.12Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.27Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.0% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 23.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Dana Haig | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 24.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.