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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+8.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.36vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+5.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.05vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+4.41vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23-1.35vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.16+4.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44+2.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-4.04vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52+0.23vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.89-2.01vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.89-6.20vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.69-6.54vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-7.55vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.11-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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5.36Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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4.65Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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11.14Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.39Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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4.96Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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5.8Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.46Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.25Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 21.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 11.4% |
| Grace Gear | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Dana Haig | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.