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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+5.13vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.31vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+1.56vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+5.73vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+0.73vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+4.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.03vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.11+3.31vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+1.12vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.07-4.87vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03-2.57vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.89-2.85vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-3.49vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-7.63vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.16-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.31Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.56Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.42Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.31Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.12Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.13Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.13Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 10.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.2% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 24.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 10.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Grace Gear | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
| Dana Haig | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.