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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+5.56vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+6.83vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+6.89vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60+4.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.73+2.91vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73+0.70vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.18-1.04vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.58+1.55vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03+3.06vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.82+0.79vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32+0.31vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-2.26vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.82vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-3.66vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.28-5.39vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.49-6.47vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.22-7.50vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Stanford University3.159.4%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College2.385.3%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island2.784.7%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy2.607.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University2.738.2%1st Place
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6.7Yale University2.739.8%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University3.1812.2%1st Place
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9.55Boston College2.584.8%1st Place
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12.06Bowdoin College2.032.1%1st Place
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10.79George Washington University1.822.8%1st Place
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11.31University of Miami2.323.2%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.574.9%1st Place
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11.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.313.8%1st Place
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10.34Georgetown University2.204.5%1st Place
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9.61Tulane University2.286.0%1st Place
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9.53College of Charleston2.494.7%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University2.224.9%1st Place
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13.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.271.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Jack Egan | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 15.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Kelly Holthus | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| James Kopack | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.