Race 4B

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Needham 27.6% 25.3% 17.0% 14.3% 10.6% 3.6% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Laura Cuccio 6.5% 5.8% 11.3% 14.0% 16.4% 21.0% 16.4% 7.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Cameron Barclift 7.6% 9.9% 13.4% 12.6% 19.8% 19.2% 12.4% 4.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Cameron Fraser 15.3% 18.2% 20.0% 20.0% 14.3% 7.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 32.8% 26.9% 18.5% 12.7% 5.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Mende 2.8% 3.6% 4.5% 6.3% 8.4% 14.2% 26.5% 24.7% 8.7% 0.3%
Alexander Gestal 5.8% 8.2% 12.0% 15.5% 19.6% 19.6% 13.5% 5.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Elizabeth Sczerzenie 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 1.8% 2.9% 7.4% 39.4% 47.1%
Omar Abudayyeh 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 9.4% 20.1% 41.5% 13.0% 2.3%
Cassie Morello 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.7% 1.3% 3.3% 7.6% 36.2% 50.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.