Race 11A

neisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Kaneti 9.1% 9.4% 11.1% 9.7% 9.4% 8.6% 9.1% 9.2% 6.3% 6.4% 5.0% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2%
Emma Cowles 13.0% 12.7% 11.2% 10.3% 9.2% 10.2% 9.5% 8.5% 5.1% 4.3% 2.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4%
Dana Haig 9.1% 9.7% 9.7% 8.7% 6.7% 11.0% 8.8% 8.2% 8.1% 7.3% 6.2% 3.8% 2.1% 0.6%
Maddie Hawkins 15.6% 14.8% 14.4% 10.9% 10.7% 8.4% 7.9% 6.1% 4.1% 3.7% 1.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Olivia Belda 9.7% 9.7% 11.7% 12.6% 10.1% 8.7% 8.7% 7.8% 7.4% 5.8% 3.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.6%
Tiare Sierra 2.6% 3.1% 2.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.1% 4.5% 6.4% 7.6% 8.2% 13.0% 12.3% 13.8% 16.7%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.4% 4.2% 3.8% 4.6% 5.9% 4.9% 5.1% 5.7% 8.4% 10.1% 10.4% 12.1% 12.9% 8.5%
Grace Gear 4.6% 4.7% 4.5% 5.5% 6.4% 5.5% 7.1% 6.9% 8.6% 9.2% 10.4% 10.7% 9.5% 6.4%
Colleen O'Brien 13.8% 11.2% 10.8% 11.7% 12.9% 10.4% 7.5% 7.1% 4.7% 4.3% 2.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Lucia Loosbrock 2.8% 2.9% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 5.7% 6.3% 6.0% 7.5% 8.5% 8.5% 14.9% 15.8% 12.6%
Abbie Carlson 3.5% 2.8% 3.9% 5.6% 4.7% 5.1% 6.5% 8.8% 7.5% 8.9% 12.1% 10.8% 11.9% 7.9%
Ellie Maus 4.2% 4.9% 5.0% 5.4% 7.1% 8.3% 6.1% 8.4% 10.4% 8.8% 10.2% 8.7% 8.3% 4.2%
Emily Bornarth 7.6% 8.4% 7.7% 7.7% 7.6% 8.6% 10.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 7.2% 5.4% 3.1% 1.2%
Miya Preyer 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 6.1% 5.6% 6.6% 9.8% 17.5% 39.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.