Race 13A

neisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Colleen O'Brien 12.8% 16.2% 11.9% 11.7% 9.1% 8.7% 7.6% 7.2% 4.9% 4.1% 3.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Maddie Hawkins 16.2% 15.2% 14.8% 11.5% 11.2% 8.6% 9.1% 4.5% 3.4% 2.4% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Ellie Maus 5.1% 4.8% 6.3% 6.4% 4.7% 7.1% 6.3% 9.0% 9.9% 9.4% 10.2% 8.8% 7.5% 4.5%
Olivia Belda 10.4% 12.5% 10.7% 10.2% 9.5% 10.8% 9.2% 8.2% 6.1% 5.4% 3.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 2.3% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 4.9% 5.6% 6.1% 6.1% 8.0% 9.2% 10.3% 11.9% 14.4% 10.4%
Tiare Sierra 2.1% 3.1% 2.7% 3.0% 3.6% 3.4% 4.4% 7.1% 7.0% 10.1% 10.4% 12.3% 14.5% 16.3%
Emily Bornarth 8.6% 8.5% 7.0% 7.1% 9.6% 9.7% 9.3% 8.4% 8.6% 6.9% 6.8% 5.2% 2.9% 1.4%
Emma Kaneti 9.7% 9.5% 9.5% 9.9% 9.3% 8.9% 8.2% 8.5% 7.5% 5.4% 6.6% 4.2% 2.3% 0.5%
Emma Cowles 11.4% 9.3% 11.7% 11.2% 10.9% 9.7% 8.0% 9.1% 6.5% 6.7% 2.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Dana Haig 9.2% 6.5% 9.2% 10.4% 9.4% 7.9% 9.4% 8.3% 9.0% 7.4% 5.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
Lucia Loosbrock 2.5% 3.2% 2.2% 3.4% 4.4% 4.9% 5.9% 6.0% 6.4% 9.1% 10.5% 13.8% 16.0% 11.7%
Grace Gear 3.9% 3.3% 5.0% 4.2% 6.2% 6.4% 7.9% 7.3% 10.5% 10.0% 10.6% 8.4% 9.2% 7.1%
Miya Preyer 1.9% 1.2% 1.8% 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 3.9% 4.8% 7.0% 9.8% 17.1% 40.6%
Abbie Carlson 3.9% 3.1% 3.6% 5.8% 5.5% 5.8% 5.8% 7.0% 8.3% 9.1% 11.4% 14.2% 10.8% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.