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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+4.35vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+2.38vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+1.89vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.73+7.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+3.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.92vs Predicted
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72.64-1.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-2.63vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03-0.81vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.89-2.43vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-2.35vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.44-3.20vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.69-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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4.38Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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4.89Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.63Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.992.640.1%1st Place
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5.37Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.19Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.8Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.0% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 40.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Dana Haig | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.0% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 10.6% |
| Grace Gear | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 12.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 14.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.