Race 15A

neisa-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Dana Haig 8.2% 9.6% 10.6% 9.6% 8.2% 9.5% 8.3% 9.0% 7.2% 7.8% 5.0% 3.3% 2.5% 1.2%
Emma Kaneti 9.1% 11.5% 9.0% 8.8% 10.1% 9.6% 9.3% 9.0% 8.6% 5.4% 3.7% 3.5% 2.0% 0.4%
Colleen O'Brien 14.5% 11.6% 13.1% 11.5% 10.7% 8.3% 9.5% 7.2% 6.2% 3.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Maddie Hawkins 14.4% 15.4% 12.8% 12.3% 10.5% 9.5% 7.7% 6.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 2.6% 2.4% 3.9% 4.4% 5.1% 5.8% 4.5% 7.2% 7.2% 9.5% 10.7% 12.4% 14.3% 10.0%
Emily Bornarth 7.1% 6.3% 7.2% 8.6% 8.9% 8.7% 9.2% 8.5% 9.1% 7.0% 8.4% 6.0% 3.6% 1.4%
Olivia Belda 13.4% 11.6% 10.2% 12.5% 9.1% 8.6% 9.2% 7.6% 6.4% 5.3% 3.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Abbie Carlson 3.8% 3.8% 6.3% 4.0% 4.4% 6.1% 6.3% 5.7% 8.8% 10.2% 9.7% 11.7% 10.7% 8.5%
Miya Preyer 2.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 1.4% 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 5.3% 7.1% 11.7% 16.7% 41.6%
Ellie Maus 4.2% 4.1% 5.6% 3.7% 6.8% 8.0% 7.2% 8.5% 9.5% 9.4% 11.5% 9.6% 8.2% 3.7%
Tiare Sierra 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 3.4% 3.7% 3.8% 5.2% 6.4% 6.7% 7.1% 11.8% 13.2% 16.7% 14.2%
Lucia Loosbrock 2.4% 2.7% 3.2% 3.5% 3.8% 4.5% 6.2% 6.4% 7.2% 10.4% 10.4% 11.5% 15.4% 12.4%
Grace Gear 4.8% 3.8% 5.2% 4.8% 5.8% 5.9% 5.9% 8.5% 8.7% 10.8% 11.3% 10.7% 7.8% 6.0%
Emma Cowles 11.4% 13.3% 8.7% 11.3% 11.1% 10.3% 8.9% 7.2% 6.7% 5.2% 2.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.