← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.31+5.05vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.70+2.84vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.30+3.05vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.73vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.98+2.21vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.91-1.62vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University0.61+4.19vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.48vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.33-2.99vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.72+1.07vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.41-5.08vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.20-2.19vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.77-1.96vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University0.83-3.29vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.08-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.05Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
-
4.84Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.05Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
7.21Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
4.38Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
-
11.19Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
-
6.01Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
11.07Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.92Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
9.81Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
-
11.04Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
-
10.71Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
-
12.48University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.0% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.9% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 16.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.0% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 14.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 4.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 14.1% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.