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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.33+4.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+2.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.62vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.31+2.11vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+0.91vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98+1.13vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.70-2.06vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72+3.02vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.53vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.30-3.78vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.20-1.35vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.83-1.09vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.77-1.98vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.61-2.75vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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4.32Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.11Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.91Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.94Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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11.02Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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6.22Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.65Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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10.91Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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11.02Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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11.25Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.6% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 14.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 13.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 13.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 16.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.