← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.41+4.83vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.31+3.99vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.58vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University0.83+6.77vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.30+1.34vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont0.08+6.67vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.70-1.98vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.91-3.49vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.26vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.72+1.18vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University0.61+0.44vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.20-1.99vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.32-3.41vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.98-6.81vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.33-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.83Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
5.99Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
-
6.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
-
10.77Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
-
6.34Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
12.67University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
-
5.02Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
4.51Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
-
6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
11.18Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
11.44Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
-
10.01Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
-
9.59Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
-
7.19Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
6.14Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 11.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 39.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.2% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 15.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 19.8% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.