Race 4B

neisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Michaela ODonnell 4.1% 2.8% 3.8% 4.6% 4.3% 4.7% 4.7% 7.2% 7.1% 7.0% 10.3% 10.6% 12.6% 9.7% 6.5%
Emma Snead 7.3% 7.8% 7.7% 8.9% 9.5% 8.5% 7.3% 8.5% 8.2% 10.3% 6.6% 3.9% 3.1% 2.1% 0.3%
Michaela O'Brien 17.0% 14.6% 14.7% 10.4% 11.3% 10.9% 6.3% 5.7% 3.6% 2.7% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.1% 3.3% 4.0% 4.2% 5.1% 4.6% 7.4% 6.5% 6.9% 8.6% 9.6% 12.2% 10.9% 8.3% 5.3%
Megan Grimes 10.1% 9.0% 7.7% 8.7% 8.9% 9.2% 8.2% 9.9% 8.3% 6.6% 5.7% 3.4% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Sarah Burn 8.9% 7.9% 9.3% 7.6% 9.6% 9.7% 9.7% 7.9% 9.2% 7.2% 6.1% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Adeline Schoen 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 5.1% 7.3% 8.3% 12.3% 15.6% 15.6% 12.6%
Gray Hemans 9.5% 9.7% 8.9% 8.2% 9.1% 9.8% 8.7% 8.1% 8.0% 6.3% 6.5% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Lucy Paskoff 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 2.9% 2.6% 3.0% 3.6% 3.3% 5.6% 8.0% 8.5% 12.6% 13.9% 17.0% 14.5%
Elizabeth Kaplan 11.8% 11.8% 12.9% 11.0% 10.0% 11.3% 8.6% 6.8% 5.7% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Kaila Pfrang 6.5% 9.1% 9.1% 8.5% 8.1% 7.7% 8.6% 8.2% 7.6% 7.3% 7.0% 6.1% 3.5% 2.1% 0.6%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.3% 0.7% 0.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.8% 3.5% 5.9% 6.8% 11.5% 19.5% 40.9%
Chloe Holder 6.0% 5.4% 6.1% 7.9% 7.3% 6.1% 8.1% 9.2% 9.6% 9.5% 8.2% 7.2% 5.3% 3.1% 1.0%
Caroline Bayless 9.4% 11.4% 9.6% 10.5% 7.7% 8.0% 10.3% 9.6% 6.6% 5.9% 5.0% 3.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Molly Hanrahan 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 3.6% 5.7% 5.0% 7.9% 10.8% 14.0% 18.7% 17.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.