Race 5B

neisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elizabeth Kaplan 12.8% 13.8% 13.0% 11.8% 10.3% 9.7% 7.0% 5.8% 5.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Michaela O'Brien 18.3% 14.7% 15.2% 9.9% 12.7% 8.3% 7.7% 5.1% 3.2% 2.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Megan Grimes 9.5% 8.7% 9.2% 9.7% 8.0% 9.6% 10.2% 9.1% 6.7% 7.9% 6.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.3%
Sarah Burn 7.7% 9.5% 9.8% 10.4% 8.6% 8.6% 9.0% 7.4% 9.3% 9.1% 5.7% 2.6% 1.8% 0.5%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 1.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 4.4% 6.8% 9.7% 16.8% 47.4%
Caroline Bayless 9.3% 9.0% 8.5% 12.3% 9.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 8.0% 6.9% 4.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.1%
Kaila Pfrang 8.9% 8.9% 8.7% 9.5% 8.6% 9.4% 7.9% 8.8% 8.4% 7.6% 6.3% 4.1% 2.3% 0.6%
Adeline Schoen 2.2% 3.1% 2.4% 2.7% 2.8% 3.7% 4.6% 4.2% 5.8% 7.0% 10.9% 16.5% 17.1% 17.0%
Chloe Holder 6.6% 5.0% 7.9% 6.2% 7.4% 7.8% 10.3% 10.0% 9.9% 9.2% 8.1% 7.6% 3.0% 1.0%
Michaela ODonnell 3.2% 2.6% 2.1% 3.7% 3.8% 5.3% 6.1% 6.2% 7.3% 9.7% 11.9% 15.6% 14.1% 8.4%
Gray Hemans 8.4% 10.0% 8.3% 9.3% 11.0% 9.8% 8.4% 9.2% 7.1% 6.4% 5.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.5%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.3% 3.2% 3.7% 4.0% 4.6% 5.1% 6.1% 7.1% 9.4% 11.2% 11.5% 11.1% 13.6% 6.1%
Emma Snead 7.3% 8.5% 7.9% 6.6% 8.9% 10.1% 8.6% 8.9% 9.8% 7.1% 7.8% 4.7% 3.2% 0.6%
Lucy Paskoff 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.0% 2.5% 2.8% 3.7% 6.5% 5.9% 6.4% 9.4% 15.2% 22.0% 17.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.