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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+3.87vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.76+2.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.61+1.63vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.37+5.10vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.93+6.97vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.70+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.34+1.53vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.79+3.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-1.89vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-0.97vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07-4.91vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.33-3.53vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.58-1.69vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.35-5.43vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.39-9.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Roger Williams University1.5514.2%1st Place
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4.21Brown University1.7617.7%1st Place
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4.63Roger Williams University1.6113.7%1st Place
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9.1Brown University0.372.9%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University-0.931.4%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island0.703.4%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island0.344.2%1st Place
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11.81Salve Regina University-0.791.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.786.3%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.184.2%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.078.8%1st Place
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8.47Brown University0.333.9%1st Place
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11.31Salve Regina University-0.582.0%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University0.353.4%1st Place
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5.23Roger Williams University1.3912.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Brock | 17.7% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Tristan McDonald | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 30.0% |
| John Mason | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Pierson Falk | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 26.7% |
| Joey Richardson | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Meara Conley | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| David Vinogradov | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Emilia Perriera | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 19.8% |
| Jancy Grayson | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Edward Herman | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.