Race 5B

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cameron Fraser 20.0% 17.2% 17.9% 16.7% 14.8% 7.7% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Cuccio 6.9% 6.1% 10.3% 13.9% 16.2% 21.6% 15.7% 8.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Connor Needham 24.0% 24.4% 22.5% 14.5% 9.2% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Mende 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 5.3% 11.1% 15.9% 27.3% 28.4% 3.0% 0.1%
Ben Weigel 32.0% 28.9% 17.1% 12.9% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Gestal 8.0% 8.8% 9.6% 15.6% 16.8% 19.5% 16.2% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Cameron Barclift 5.6% 9.7% 15.4% 15.8% 19.3% 17.9% 11.7% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Omar Abudayyeh 1.1% 1.8% 3.0% 4.5% 6.0% 9.5% 19.7% 44.5% 9.9% 0.0%
Cassie Morello 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 2.9% 7.4% 78.0% 8.4%
Lillian Nelson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 7.5% 91.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.