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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.70+4.09vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.20+7.74vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.41+2.97vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.32+5.53vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+1.47vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98+1.44vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-0.29vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.05vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.33-2.86vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.91-5.40vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.83+0.04vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.08+1.08vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-1.52vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.31-7.76vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.74Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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5.97Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.53Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.47Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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4.6Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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11.48Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.24Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.51Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 6.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.8% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 15.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 46.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 21.0% | 17.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.