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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.55+4.63vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+2.49vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+3.37vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.00vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.32+4.53vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.70-0.87vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.31-0.64vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.41-1.89vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.20+0.93vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.10vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98-3.52vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.83-0.76vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-1.48vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-4.46vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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4.49Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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6.37Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.53Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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5.13Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.36Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.24Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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11.52Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.54Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.1% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 5.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.7% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 5.9% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 16.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 19.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.