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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.70+4.13vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+2.46vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+3.30vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.31+2.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.06vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55-0.36vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.32+2.51vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31+1.64vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72+2.30vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.08vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.41-4.89vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.08+1.08vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.98-5.32vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.20-4.06vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.83-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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4.46Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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6.3Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.34Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.64Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.51Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.64Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.3Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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13.08University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.94Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.7% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Young | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 16.9% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 46.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.