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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+4.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+4.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.64vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+2.06vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+1.21vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.72+4.74vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-0.82vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91-3.60vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.20+0.42vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.41-4.20vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.70-5.99vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.08+0.03vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.32-4.09vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.58-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.74Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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4.4Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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9.42Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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5.8Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.01Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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8.91Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.85Northeastern University0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Emma Snead | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 20.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 17.9% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 7.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 15.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 19.1% | 44.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 5.1% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 25.3% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.