Race 10B

neisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

7.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caroline Bayless 10.3% 10.5% 11.4% 9.8% 9.0% 9.5% 9.6% 7.4% 5.9% 6.5% 4.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Gray Hemans 10.1% 10.9% 9.2% 9.6% 10.5% 8.0% 9.0% 10.6% 7.7% 6.1% 4.0% 2.3% 1.9% 0.1%
Sarah Burn 10.2% 9.4% 10.3% 8.2% 7.9% 8.4% 10.1% 8.4% 8.9% 8.0% 4.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.8%
Kaila Pfrang 7.4% 8.5% 7.5% 8.9% 9.2% 8.9% 9.7% 7.5% 9.2% 8.6% 7.2% 4.8% 2.1% 0.5%
Chloe Holder 5.7% 6.0% 6.6% 8.7% 8.4% 8.0% 6.7% 10.1% 9.3% 8.9% 9.3% 7.7% 3.2% 1.4%
Elizabeth Kaplan 12.2% 13.0% 13.4% 10.8% 10.5% 9.9% 7.8% 6.2% 6.2% 5.0% 2.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 1.2% 2.4% 2.2% 2.9% 4.4% 4.2% 7.7% 11.1% 17.6% 41.4%
Lucy Paskoff 2.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.2% 3.7% 3.1% 3.7% 4.4% 4.9% 7.1% 9.0% 15.1% 20.9% 19.0%
Michaela O'Brien 15.7% 16.1% 12.8% 12.0% 11.5% 10.1% 7.5% 5.0% 3.6% 2.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Megan Grimes 8.8% 8.4% 10.0% 9.1% 8.3% 8.7% 9.5% 9.5% 9.1% 7.5% 5.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6%
Emma Snead 8.8% 5.6% 6.5% 8.9% 9.3% 7.9% 9.1% 10.1% 9.0% 8.9% 6.1% 6.1% 2.8% 0.9%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.2% 2.6% 3.5% 4.5% 4.7% 5.4% 6.5% 6.7% 10.5% 10.1% 13.3% 11.1% 10.9% 7.0%
Lauren Krim 2.3% 1.4% 2.0% 1.5% 2.0% 3.7% 3.2% 4.1% 4.6% 7.6% 9.4% 14.7% 21.7% 21.8%
Michaela ODonnell 2.5% 4.0% 2.5% 4.7% 3.8% 6.0% 5.4% 7.1% 6.7% 8.9% 13.9% 14.4% 13.9% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.