Race 11B

neisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caroline Bayless 10.2% 9.7% 12.0% 9.9% 8.5% 11.1% 8.7% 8.0% 7.0% 4.2% 5.2% 3.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Gray Hemans 9.7% 10.8% 9.0% 8.9% 10.1% 8.9% 9.9% 8.3% 9.5% 6.5% 4.7% 1.7% 1.5% 0.5%
Chloe Holder 6.8% 6.8% 7.7% 7.1% 6.2% 9.2% 8.4% 9.1% 7.7% 9.8% 9.2% 7.3% 3.1% 1.6%
Kaila Pfrang 6.0% 9.9% 8.5% 8.8% 7.6% 9.4% 9.1% 8.2% 9.4% 8.8% 7.1% 4.5% 2.2% 0.5%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.1% 0.5% 1.3% 0.8% 1.5% 2.4% 1.6% 2.1% 3.6% 5.1% 6.3% 9.2% 17.8% 46.7%
Emma Snead 7.4% 6.0% 7.8% 8.3% 7.2% 9.4% 10.1% 8.7% 9.0% 7.9% 8.0% 5.9% 3.5% 0.8%
Elizabeth Kaplan 14.5% 14.5% 12.3% 11.7% 10.8% 8.5% 8.1% 7.3% 5.3% 3.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Michaela O'Brien 16.2% 16.2% 13.0% 12.0% 10.9% 7.5% 7.7% 5.5% 4.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
AnaLucia Clarkson 4.2% 3.1% 2.9% 3.2% 6.2% 4.4% 4.1% 6.8% 10.1% 10.2% 13.7% 11.9% 12.8% 6.4%
Sarah Burn 8.0% 8.5% 8.1% 11.2% 9.4% 8.4% 9.7% 9.1% 7.7% 7.8% 6.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
Lucy Paskoff 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 1.7% 2.7% 2.3% 3.7% 4.8% 6.5% 8.6% 8.4% 15.9% 19.6% 20.5%
Michaela ODonnell 2.7% 2.3% 3.7% 3.2% 4.7% 4.8% 6.3% 7.1% 6.3% 10.4% 12.8% 15.4% 11.2% 9.1%
Megan Grimes 9.7% 8.0% 9.3% 10.0% 10.8% 9.7% 8.5% 9.0% 7.0% 7.6% 3.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.3%
Adeline Schoen 2.0% 1.9% 2.4% 3.2% 3.4% 4.0% 4.1% 6.0% 6.1% 6.0% 10.4% 15.8% 22.2% 12.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.