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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+3.35vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+2.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.41+2.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+3.06vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+1.23vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.31+0.19vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72+3.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.39vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.44vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.20-0.49vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.33-4.93vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.83-1.53vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.08-1.01vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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4.75Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.77Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.23Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.19Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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10.46Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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9.51Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.47Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.1% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 20.9% | 17.8% |
| Emma Snead | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 7.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 17.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 18.2% | 46.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.