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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.33+4.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+3.52vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.31+2.08vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.700.00vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.72+4.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.66vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91-3.59vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.32+0.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98-2.91vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.83-0.60vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.95-1.90vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.30-7.03vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.52Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.0Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.72Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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4.41Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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9.07Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.95University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 19.4% |
| Emma Snead | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 17.3% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 5.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 15.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 11.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 19.3% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.