Race 14B

neisa-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caroline Bayless 10.2% 10.6% 10.5% 10.0% 11.4% 8.7% 9.6% 6.7% 7.3% 6.8% 3.2% 2.4% 2.0% 0.6%
Sarah Burn 9.1% 10.6% 9.3% 10.1% 9.1% 9.9% 8.6% 9.3% 9.2% 5.6% 4.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Chloe Holder 6.6% 6.7% 7.9% 7.6% 6.8% 8.0% 9.1% 8.8% 9.0% 9.3% 10.0% 6.7% 3.1% 0.4%
Michaela O'Brien 15.9% 15.3% 13.7% 12.8% 11.1% 8.5% 6.5% 6.3% 5.0% 2.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Megan Grimes 7.5% 8.5% 8.9% 11.4% 9.4% 9.6% 9.2% 7.4% 8.8% 7.6% 5.9% 3.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Emma Snead 7.8% 5.9% 7.7% 8.9% 8.9% 8.2% 8.5% 9.8% 9.0% 8.8% 7.6% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8%
Gray Hemans 9.7% 11.0% 10.4% 9.2% 9.6% 10.1% 9.1% 8.9% 7.0% 6.9% 4.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Kaila Pfrang 8.2% 9.6% 7.5% 8.1% 8.5% 8.6% 9.6% 8.6% 9.7% 6.7% 6.5% 5.3% 2.5% 0.6%
Lucy Paskoff 2.4% 1.9% 1.6% 1.9% 2.9% 3.0% 3.3% 4.5% 4.7% 8.2% 9.9% 17.9% 19.4% 18.4%
Caylin Schnoor 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 1.6% 2.5% 4.7% 5.4% 6.0% 7.4% 7.8% 11.7% 14.0% 18.9% 12.9%
Elizabeth Kaplan 14.3% 10.7% 13.6% 10.9% 9.8% 9.4% 9.9% 6.1% 5.5% 4.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.9% 3.9% 3.2% 3.3% 4.7% 6.5% 5.4% 9.4% 7.7% 12.6% 10.9% 11.5% 11.1% 6.9%
Adeline Schoen 2.0% 2.4% 2.0% 3.0% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 5.5% 5.7% 7.9% 13.1% 14.8% 18.4% 14.9%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.0% 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 4.0% 5.0% 7.1% 10.5% 17.5% 43.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.