Race 15B

neisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caroline Bayless 10.2% 10.8% 11.8% 9.9% 9.7% 8.9% 10.2% 8.6% 6.1% 5.8% 4.3% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Sarah Burn 10.5% 10.2% 9.0% 9.4% 10.2% 10.2% 9.7% 9.4% 5.6% 8.3% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.9%
Michaela O'Brien 18.3% 14.3% 15.6% 11.6% 9.8% 8.8% 7.1% 5.9% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 3.6% 3.5% 4.0% 5.5% 5.6% 8.5% 7.4% 11.4% 16.0% 15.9% 11.8%
Gray Hemans 7.7% 9.9% 10.5% 9.9% 9.0% 9.6% 9.4% 9.0% 8.5% 7.1% 4.7% 2.7% 1.6% 0.4%
Elizabeth Kaplan 13.6% 13.0% 12.8% 11.7% 11.6% 7.3% 9.3% 6.9% 5.4% 5.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Alexandra Talbot 3.5% 3.7% 4.7% 5.9% 4.7% 5.8% 5.6% 6.7% 9.1% 10.6% 12.3% 12.3% 10.8% 4.3%
Adeline Schoen 2.8% 2.3% 2.3% 3.2% 4.0% 3.8% 4.3% 5.3% 5.2% 7.5% 11.4% 14.6% 17.3% 16.0%
Megan Grimes 9.4% 8.8% 7.8% 10.5% 10.2% 11.3% 9.2% 8.2% 10.2% 5.3% 4.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Kaila Pfrang 8.0% 7.6% 9.2% 8.2% 9.5% 9.0% 9.8% 9.0% 10.0% 7.5% 5.2% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.6% 1.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 6.0% 6.8% 11.0% 18.6% 42.6%
Lucy Paskoff 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 3.1% 4.2% 4.6% 6.9% 7.6% 13.8% 13.7% 18.2% 17.1%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.8% 4.4% 3.1% 4.8% 4.7% 5.8% 5.4% 7.9% 8.7% 10.9% 13.0% 11.7% 10.5% 5.3%
Emma Snead 8.2% 9.0% 7.5% 8.0% 9.1% 11.0% 8.3% 10.1% 8.3% 8.2% 6.3% 4.0% 1.7% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.