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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cameron Barclift 9.6% 9.6% 12.6% 14.8% 17.1% 17.3% 13.2% 5.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Needham 24.3% 27.4% 19.0% 14.5% 8.4% 4.6% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 30.6% 25.6% 20.9% 13.8% 6.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Laura Cuccio 6.0% 6.1% 11.1% 13.9% 16.7% 22.1% 16.6% 6.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Omar Abudayyeh 1.7% 2.6% 3.3% 3.6% 7.0% 8.9% 18.8% 44.0% 9.8% 0.3%
Cameron Fraser 18.1% 17.1% 19.2% 18.2% 15.1% 7.5% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Mende 2.1% 1.9% 3.9% 6.6% 10.0% 15.7% 27.5% 28.3% 4.0% 0.0%
Alexander Gestal 7.4% 9.4% 9.2% 14.4% 17.8% 21.2% 14.7% 5.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Cassie Morello 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.2% 1.0% 1.1% 2.7% 8.1% 77.3% 8.4%
Lillian Nelson 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 7.6% 91.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.