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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.89vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.11+0.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-1.50vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.09-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.5%1st Place
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2.81University of Vermont1.110.2%1st Place
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2.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.2%1st Place
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2.8SUNY Maritime College1.090.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Burns | 45.3% | 29.4% | 16.2% | 9.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 16.0% | 20.9% | 29.0% | 34.1% |
| Jack Derry | 22.8% | 27.3% | 27.4% | 22.5% |
| John Vail | 15.9% | 22.4% | 27.4% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.