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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+1.47vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.09+0.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.11-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.2%1st Place
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2.82SUNY Maritime College1.090.2%1st Place
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1.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.4%1st Place
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2.78University of Vermont1.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Derry | 24.5% | 26.7% | 26.0% | 22.8% |
| John Vail | 16.4% | 20.3% | 28.1% | 35.2% |
| Michael Burns | 42.8% | 30.9% | 17.3% | 9.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 16.3% | 22.1% | 28.6% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.