Race 3 - owen-mosbacher-knapp | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.2

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Jack Derry & Daniel Neville

U. S. Coast Guard Academy

1.44

+1.47

vs Predicted
2

Michael Burns & Maeve Jackson

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

2.04

-0.10

vs Predicted
4

John Vail & Eileen Mehrkens

SUNY Maritime College

1.09

-1.15

vs Predicted
5

Ryan Hamilton & Brooke Willke

University of Vermont

1.11

-2.22

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.47

Jack Derry & Daniel Neville

U. S. Coast Guard Academy

1.44

0.2%

1st Place
1.9

Michael Burns & Maeve Jackson

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

2.04

0.4%

1st Place
2.85

John Vail & Eileen Mehrkens

SUNY Maritime College

1.09

0.2%

1st Place
2.78

Ryan Hamilton & Brooke Willke

University of Vermont

1.11

0.2%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Jack Derry	23.8%	27.6%	26.3%	22.3%
Michael Burns	44.3%	29.9%	17.7%	8.1%
John Vail	16.3%	19.1%	27.5%	37.1%
Ryan Hamilton	15.6%	23.4%	28.5%	32.5%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.