Race 6 - owen-mosbacher-knapp | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.1

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Michael Burns & Maeve Jackson

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

2.04

+0.86

vs Predicted
2

Ryan Hamilton & Brooke Willke

University of Vermont

1.11

+0.78

vs Predicted
3

Finn Rauch & Eileen Mehrkens

SUNY Maritime College

1.02

-0.08

vs Predicted
5

Jack Derry & Daniel Neville

U. S. Coast Guard Academy

1.44

-2.57

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.86

Michael Burns & Maeve Jackson

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

2.04

0.5%

1st Place
2.78

Ryan Hamilton & Brooke Willke

University of Vermont

1.11

0.2%

1st Place
2.92

Finn Rauch & Eileen Mehrkens

SUNY Maritime College

1.02

0.1%

1st Place
2.43

Jack Derry & Daniel Neville

U. S. Coast Guard Academy

1.44

0.2%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Michael Burns	46.1%	29.0%	17.5%	7.4%
Ryan Hamilton	15.3%	22.9%	29.9%	31.9%
Finn Rauch	14.9%	18.8%	25.2%	41.1%
Jack Derry	23.7%	29.3%	27.4%	19.6%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.