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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+1.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.11-0.18vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.02-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.2%1st Place
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1.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.4%1st Place
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2.82University of Vermont1.110.2%1st Place
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2.85SUNY Maritime College1.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Derry | 24.3% | 28.1% | 26.1% | 21.5% |
| Michael Burns | 44.9% | 29.7% | 17.9% | 7.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 16.4% | 20.6% | 27.8% | 35.2% |
| Finn Rauch | 14.4% | 21.6% | 28.2% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.