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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+0.47vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.02-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.11-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.5%1st Place
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2.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.2%1st Place
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2.92SUNY Maritime College1.020.1%1st Place
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2.76University of Vermont1.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Burns | 45.7% | 29.9% | 17.5% | 6.9% |
| Jack Derry | 23.0% | 27.8% | 28.3% | 20.9% |
| Finn Rauch | 14.7% | 19.5% | 25.4% | 40.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 16.6% | 22.8% | 28.8% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.