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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.11+0.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-0.53vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.02-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.5%1st Place
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2.79University of Vermont1.110.2%1st Place
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2.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.2%1st Place
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2.86SUNY Maritime College1.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Burns | 45.8% | 29.8% | 15.9% | 8.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 16.2% | 21.7% | 28.7% | 33.4% |
| Jack Derry | 23.0% | 28.0% | 27.6% | 21.4% |
| Finn Rauch | 15.0% | 20.5% | 27.8% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.