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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+1.77vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.14+5.50vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.04+2.92vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47-0.84vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.49-0.06vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.16-0.41vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-1.85vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.73-2.65vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.00-6.02vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-2.02-0.48vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-1.40-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Tufts University3.670.3%1st Place
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7.5Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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3.16Roger Williams University3.470.2%1st Place
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4.94Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.59Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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5.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.1%1st Place
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6.35Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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3.98Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.52Northeastern University-2.020.0%1st Place
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10.12Bentley University-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 29.1% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 37.3% | 7.8% | 1.0% |
| Laura Cuccio | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 21.1% | 21.9% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Lamont | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Gestal | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ansart | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 13.9% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Angela Lukstein | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 28.6% | 65.4% |
| Cassie Morello | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 57.2% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.