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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.02+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.11+0.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-0.51vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84SUNY Maritime College1.020.2%1st Place
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2.81University of Vermont1.110.2%1st Place
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2.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.2%1st Place
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1.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Rauch | 16.0% | 20.1% | 27.9% | 36.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 16.0% | 21.4% | 27.9% | 34.7% |
| Jack Derry | 22.2% | 29.1% | 26.4% | 22.3% |
| Michael Burns | 45.8% | 29.4% | 17.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.