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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.87vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.02+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.11-0.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.5%1st Place
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2.88SUNY Maritime College1.020.1%1st Place
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2.82University of Vermont1.110.2%1st Place
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2.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Burns | 46.4% | 28.4% | 17.0% | 8.2% |
| Finn Rauch | 13.8% | 21.0% | 28.5% | 36.7% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 16.2% | 20.9% | 27.2% | 35.7% |
| Jack Derry | 23.6% | 29.7% | 27.3% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.