Race 8B

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ben Lamont 8.0% 9.3% 9.3% 14.5% 15.1% 14.8% 14.0% 9.8% 4.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Connor Needham 24.2% 21.8% 17.6% 14.0% 11.5% 6.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 26.1% 24.8% 17.7% 14.6% 9.0% 5.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tevis Nichols 6.3% 7.9% 9.4% 10.3% 12.2% 17.0% 15.5% 12.3% 7.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Benjamin Mende 2.6% 3.3% 2.8% 4.6% 5.7% 7.5% 11.0% 16.2% 36.7% 9.4% 0.2%
Victor Ansart 3.4% 4.6% 7.8% 6.9% 9.1% 9.0% 17.0% 19.8% 19.6% 2.7% 0.1%
Angela Lukstein 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 3.8% 28.1% 64.5%
Cameron Fraser 15.9% 14.9% 18.2% 15.3% 12.5% 10.7% 5.9% 4.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Gestal 6.0% 7.3% 8.0% 10.0% 12.8% 15.3% 14.0% 14.0% 10.2% 2.3% 0.1%
Laura Cuccio 7.0% 5.8% 8.9% 9.4% 11.4% 13.2% 15.8% 16.6% 10.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Cassie Morello 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 3.3% 4.7% 54.5% 34.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.