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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+0.87vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.66-0.59vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.26+0.77vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.39-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Rhode Island2.240.5%1st Place
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3.63Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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2.41Tufts University1.660.3%1st Place
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4.77Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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4.06University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 48.4% | 29.1% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 9.2% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 21.4% | 10.9% |
| Matthew Wallace | 26.6% | 31.1% | 23.4% | 14.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 43.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 4.7% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 21.5% | 25.8% | 24.4% |
| James Sullivan | 6.9% | 8.9% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 26.3% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.