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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+0.88vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.66vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.26+1.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.66-1.60vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.39-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Rhode Island2.240.5%1st Place
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3.66Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.75Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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2.4Tufts University1.660.3%1st Place
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4.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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4.06University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 47.4% | 28.9% | 14.8% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 9.5% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 22.7% | 21.2% | 11.6% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 23.3% | 42.8% |
| Matthew Wallace | 26.6% | 30.3% | 25.5% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.6% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 24.7% | 25.0% |
| James Sullivan | 6.0% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 22.5% | 24.2% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.