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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+1.43vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.69vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.24-2.19vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39-0.89vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.26-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Tufts University1.660.3%1st Place
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3.69Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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1.81University of Rhode Island2.240.5%1st Place
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4.11University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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4.81Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 27.2% | 31.6% | 21.1% | 13.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 8.3% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 22.0% | 20.9% | 12.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.3% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 23.0% | 26.7% | 20.6% |
| Declan Botwinick | 48.0% | 30.2% | 16.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| James Sullivan | 6.4% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 21.5% | 24.5% | 21.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 2.8% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.