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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.75vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.26+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24-1.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.66-1.61vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.39-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.75Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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1.8University of Rhode Island2.240.5%1st Place
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2.39Tufts University1.660.3%1st Place
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4.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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4.05University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 7.8% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 23.5% | 20.5% | 13.6% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 22.2% | 43.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 49.4% | 30.0% | 13.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wallace | 26.9% | 32.0% | 22.1% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.7% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 25.2% | 24.7% |
| James Sullivan | 6.2% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 23.3% | 24.8% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.