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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+1.45vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24-1.20vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.26+0.77vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.39-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.65Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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1.8University of Rhode Island2.240.5%1st Place
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4.77Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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4.06University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 25.0% | 32.4% | 23.6% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 8.9% | 14.8% | 21.7% | 22.0% | 21.8% | 10.8% |
| Declan Botwinick | 50.7% | 27.5% | 15.0% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 43.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.2% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 22.6% | 25.3% | 24.4% |
| James Sullivan | 5.8% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 21.2% | 25.8% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.